The case for Austin Romine as Sonny Gray's personal catcher
Aaron
Boone was hesitant to make the move at first, and understandably so. The New
York Yankees have arguably the best hitting catcher in baseball in Gary
Sanchez, so ideally Boone would like to get him into the lineup as much as
possible. However, in a game where raw statistics are so important, it is hard
to argue with the numbers, and the numbers say that Sonny Gray is a better
pitcher when Austin Romine is behind the plate laying down the signs. Even if
it means giving Sanchez a few more off days than you would like, there is a
strong case for Romine being Gray’s personal catcher.
Photo Credit: NJ.com |
The idea of a personal catcher is not foreign to the Yankees organization. Randy Johnson, though not the same pitcher with the Yankees that he had been throughout the rest of his career, was very fond of John Flaherty, to the point where Joe Torre made sure the back-up Flaherty was behind the dish every time the big lefty took the ball. A.J. Burnett, another premiere offseason pitching acquisition by the Yankees, also preferred throwing to the back-up, in his case Jose Molina or Francisco Cervelli. The fact that these two power arms preferred throwing to the back-ups instead of Jorge Posada was by no means a knock on the Yankee legend. In a game that is more mental than any other major sport, their preference could have been nothing more than a mental block they could not get past.
Regardless
of how you feel about personal catchers, the numbers in Johnson and Burnett’s
cases do not lie. Johnson, a Hall of Famer, looked like his dominating self
when throwing to Flaherty. In 21 starts with Flaherty behind the plate, Johnson
pitched to a 3.18 ERA, allowing just 110 hits and 25 walks in 135.2 IP. When
you compare those statistics with the numbers he posted with Posada behind the
plate, the difference is staggering. In
43 appearances pitching to Posada, Johnson posted an inflated 4.82 ERA while
allowing 250 hits and 75 walks in just 261.2 IP. To put it lightly, Johnson was
a different pitcher when Flaherty was calling the game. Burnett also enjoyed
far less success with Posada behind the plate, posting an ERA nearly two full
runs lower when he threw to Molina or Cervelli (worth noting: a bulk of
Burnett’s numbers with Cervelli behind the plate come from their time working
together with the Pittsburgh Pirates).
Clearly
there is statistical data that supports the notion of a personal catcher,
whether you buy the idea or not. So, is there really enough information at this
point to justify Boone slotting Romine into the lineup every fifth day? While
Gray’s sample size with Romine and Sanchez is not large enough to be
definitive, like it was for Johnson and Burnett, it is convincing. Since coming
over to New York in a trade with Oakland at the 2017 trade deadline, Gray has
appeared in 18 games for the Yankees, pitching to Romine eight times and
Sanchez 10 times. Despite throwing just over seven more innings to Sanchez,
Gray’s numbers when pitching to the two backstops are diametrically opposed.
The
Sonny Gray we see when Gary Sanchez is behind the plate is the Sonny Gray who
has drawn the ire of Yankee fans since last summer. It is important to note
that fans had high expectations for Gray when he donned the pinstripes, being
that he is a former All Star and once placed third in American League Cy Young
voting during his breakout 2015 season with the A’s. This is not the Sonny Gray
we see when Sanchez is calling the game. When throwing to Sanchez, Gray has
posted an abysmal 5.94 ERA. Maybe more concerning, opposing batters are hitting
.258 with a .342 OBP against Gray when Sanchez is behind the plate. Gray has
allowed more than a hit per inning and has struck out just 42 batters in 53 IP.
So
how much better is he when Romine dons the catcher’s gear? Safe to say, Gray
certainly looks more like his 2015 form when throwing to the back-up. In his
eight regular season appearances throwing to Romine, Gray is posting a stellar
2.78 ERA while holding opposing hitters to just a .217 average. His strikeout
totals are also far better when Romine is behind the plate, as he has struck
out 47 in just 45.1 IP.
Based
on the numbers, it is hard to argue that Sonny Gray is as effective when
throwing to Sanchez as he is when he throws to Romine. The source of concern
then becomes the difference in offensive production between the two Yankee
catchers. There is no doubt that Sanchez is the superior hitter between the
two. While Sanchez has been one of the best hitting catchers in baseball since
earning the call to the big leagues, Romine’s offensive numbers aren’t
particularly close when you compare the two at the plate. However, you also
have to consider one of the most beautiful elements of playing in the AL, the
designated hitter.
While
it should be a priority for Boone to get Sanchez in the lineup as often as he
can, this is still possible with Romine behind the plate because of the DH
spot. In his career, while Sanchez has racked up far more at-bats while
catching than while DH’ing, his numbers are about the same. Sanchez bats about
.010 points lower and, on average, drives in fewer runs when DH’ing, but his
power numbers and hit totals match-up almost perfectly. On top of the fact that
Sanchez’s production does not seem to suffer greatly when he is in the DH spot,
there is precedent for teams limiting the time behind the plate for young
offense-centric catchers (see the Twins and Joe Mauer or the Cubs and Kyle
Schwarber). With Sanchez clearly being
the Yankees catcher for years to come, there is incentive to limiting his time
behind the plate in order to preserve his bat.
Photo Credit: Kathleen Malone-Van Dyke/Newsday |
On
the other side, while he is still not a hitter who puts fear into the hearts of
opposing pitchers, Austin Romine has made big strides at the dish in 2018.
After batting just .218 in 80 games in 2017, Romine has bumped his average up
to .286 in 13 games so far this season. Romine also has three extra-base hits
and seven RBIs so far this year, compared to just 12 extra-base hits and 21 RBIs
all of 2017. While there is still no argument that Romine is at Sanchez’s level
offensively, the 29-year old catcher does not seem to be a liability at the
plate like he was in the past. Aaron Boone himself has said that he and the
Yankees coaching staff have high offensive expectations for their back-up
catcher.
Determining
whether Sonny Gray should exclusively throw to Austin Romine is a balancing
act. You have to balance the difference in ERA for Gray versus the offensive
production of Sanchez and Romine. While there is no formula for definitively
figuring out which is the better option over the long-term, you can look at the
difference in Gray’s ERA between the two catchers and ask yourself, “Can Gary
Sanchez make up for those runs with his bat every time he catches Gray?” There
is more than a three-run difference in ERA for Gray when he pitches to one or
the other, and it is hard to fathom Sanchez, as good as he is, producing
three-plus runs every time he catches Gray. When you do a cost-benefit analysis
here, there doesn’t seem to be any doubt that Austin Romine should be catching
Sonny Gray when it’s Gray’s turn to take the ball, even if it means Gary
Sanchez has to ride the pine every so often.
Article by: Jonathan Kohut
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