BBB Top Prospect Countdown #7: Dustin Fowler
After
being drafted in the 18th round of the 2013 MLB draft, our seventh
ranked prospect Dustin Fowler elected to sign with the Yankees signing for an
over-slot $278k. Fowler endured two lackluster seasons as a professional before
breaking out and beginning to reach his full potential in 2015. At 20, Fowler
competed in the Arizona Fall League where he continued his career year against
competition more “MLB ready” than he. Fowler started the 2015 appearing on most
prospects in the 20s, but now, you’ll find him on nearly every person’s top ten
Yankees prospect list, and he ranks as the BBB’s seventh best prospect with the
potential to hop into the top 5 by the end of the season as he will play this
season at 21 years old.
The
Yankees drafted Fowler’s raw talent based off his athletic ability, with the
hopes that their minor league coaching staff would help him improve as a
player. This transition from a solid athlete to a solid baseball player was
timely as Fowler just .241/.274/.384 with no home runs and a high 23 strikeouts
in 112 at-bats with the Yankees Gulf Coast League team.
But
Fowler would show improvement at the plate in 2014, particularly with his power
numbers. Fowler hit to a slash line of .257/.292/.459 with nine homers, 13
doubles and six triples, all in 66 games. He also decreased his strikeout percentage
at the plate from 18.4% to 16.4%. One aspect of Fowler’s game that hadn’t reached
its potential was his base running ability as he stole just three bases. Still,
Fowler’s 2014 campaign put him in most Yankees prospect rankings in the 20-30
range, but Fowler’s breakout 2015 season is what puts him in nearly every top
10 entering this season.
Fowler
began the season in single-A Charleston hitting to a career clip of .307/.340/.419
After being called up to Tampa he continued playing well and finished the
season hitting .298/.334/.394 with five homers, 20 doubles and five triples. He
also stole 30 bases and was caught 13 times as he was much more aggressive on
the base paths. Still not satisfied, Fowler said he still has room for
improvement.
“[I
was] Trying to get more walks, see more pitches, get deeper in the count.
Sometimes I’m too aggressive. I trust my
hands too much right now and it hurts me in cases. Stealing bases, I can get
better, work on that, get a little bit quicker… get jumps and figure out how to
read balls a little bit better and a little quicker,” Fowler said to HardballScoop.
Projection
Dustin
Fowler will probably start this season where he left off in 2015 – with the
Tampa Yankees. With a good showing in Tampa, he could jump up to Trenton by
midseason, much like he did last year between Charleston and Tampa. When he
gets to the majors, Fowler projects out to be a guy who should hit 20-25 homers
and swipe 20 bags at the major league level, all while hitting in the .280s or
.290s.
“He’s
strong, he has bat speed, his routes are good, he’s a plus runner, he’s getting
better and better all the time,” Tampa Yankees manager Dave Bialas said. “It’s
good for a player like Fowler to see some older players.”
Fowler
will be over a year younger than the average player in high-A ball so if Fowler
can make it to Trenton in 2016 and play well, he could be in the major leagues
by the end of 2017 where he will still be just 22 years-old. Some scouts want
to continue seeing Fowler improve, and they want his power numbers to reach
their potential before they are convinced. On the other hand, other scouts are
sold on Fowler as one of the premier prospects in the Yankees farm system. You can mark the BBB with the category that sees Fowler as the real deal and someone who could make noise in the big leagues.
MLB Comparison: David Peralta (Arizona), Johnny Damon.
You can keep up with our full top 30 list with links to our breakdowns HERE.
You can view his minor league stats here.
2015 Arizona Fall League stats: 16 games, 61 AB, 14 runs, 17 hits, 2 doubles, 0 triples, 2 homers, 7 RBI, 25 TB, 3 BB, 10 SO, 7 SB, 0 CS, .279 AVG, .313 OBP, .410 SLG, .722 OPS, 0 E
Article
by: Chad Raines
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me on twitter @Chad_Rain
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